Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.478230 4.012496 4.597895 5.286449 6.073720 6.945327 7.983082
2025-02-02 2.911559 3.655474 4.537700 5.659227 7.045204 8.700044 10.824219
2025-02-09 2.403266 3.250720 4.327951 5.793462 7.730884 10.199861 13.580432
2025-02-16 2.003235 2.897865 4.108208 5.857782 8.313783 11.629428 16.435192
2025-02-23 1.637102 2.518968 3.782145 5.711996 8.572788 12.641580 18.849214
2025-03-02 1.325931 2.160255 3.420077 5.445424 8.601575 13.309246 20.834616
2025-03-09 1.149065 1.972390 3.276746 5.472886 9.053190 14.627247 23.918524
2025-03-16 0.973793 1.756274 3.053474 5.334798 9.214975 15.502926 26.401757
2025-03-23 0.906592 1.709763 3.096831 5.633557 10.115016 17.641892 31.149965
2025-03-30 0.829680 1.632896 3.075143 5.812727 10.826069 19.535705 35.687384
2025-04-06 0.740401 1.518628 2.969597 5.824246 11.235736 20.946519 39.528307
2025-04-13 0.627103 1.340218 2.720424 5.534013 11.052848 21.277344 41.454581
2025-04-20 0.585244 1.301105 2.737133 5.765574 11.902244 23.621485 47.434723
2025-04-27 0.563712 1.301111 2.831416 6.163960 13.127289 26.810228 55.387867
2025-05-04 0.519306 1.244730 2.802418 6.305563 13.853497 29.113632 61.869144
2025-05-11 0.473704 1.178268 2.742536 6.372867 14.432309 31.184006 68.108308
2025-05-18 0.416608 1.075662 2.588872 6.213320 14.504275 32.220369 72.317666
2025-05-25 0.358513 0.960719 2.390336 5.923427 14.248352 32.529168 74.997503
2025-06-01 0.327932 0.909377 2.332710 5.952721 14.716800 34.447543 81.386589
2025-06-08 0.290641 0.834438 2.207586 5.802711 14.747535 35.396164 85.704994
2025-06-15 0.282310 0.835596 2.271223 6.126453 15.949770 39.126621 96.779066
2025-06-22 0.267850 0.817491 2.283186 6.320572 16.856475 42.262678 106.782907
2025-06-29 0.246416 0.776003 2.228120 6.332995 17.307750 44.363715 114.528808